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Outlook for German economy significantly gloomier

24.04.2025

“Economic output in Germany is likely to have increased slightly in the first quarter of 2025, but could suffer a setback in the second quarter,” the Bundesbank writes in its latest Monthly Report. Construction and industrial output, for instance, were up recently. Retail sales also continued to grow in January and February. However, according to the Bundesbank’s economists, the outlook for the second quarter is gloomy, not least given the US administration’s tariff policy.

German economic activity stabilised slightly at the beginning of the year, but outlook significantly gloomier
Spring at the Port of Hamburg ©picture alliance/Westendó | Kerstin Bittner
Bundesbank study: Wealth in Germany grows in nominal terms but declines in real terms, with no change in inequality

10.04.2025

Between 2021 and 2023, the average amount of wealth per household in Germany grew slightly in nominal terms, but declined in real terms, i.e. when adjusted for inflation. This is the finding of a Bundesbank study that regularly examines household wealth and finances. Nevertheless, net wealth remains at a higher level in both nominal and real terms than in 2017, when the Bundesbank carried out its last survey before the COVID-19 pandemic.

Bundesbank study: Wealth in Germany grows in nominal terms but declines in real terms, with no change in inequality
Calculator and balances ©Tom Grill / Getty Images
Everyday experiences shape households’ inflation expectations – panel discussion with Michael Weber and Joachim Nagel

Households’ expectations for inflation often deviate from the officially recorded inflation rates. As part of the Bundesbank Invited Speakers Series, Michael Weber, Associate Professor of Finance at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, expressed his view that the public’s perceptions are chiefly shaped by their shopping experiences or their family and friends rather than by classic media. He went on to discuss with Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel what this means for central bank communication and monetary policy. The panel was moderated by Falko Fecht, Head of the Bundesbank’s Research Centre.

Inflation expectations and reality: implications for the last mile of disinflation
von links: Michael Weber, Joachim Nagel, Falko Fecht ©Annika Soru
Euro pavilion: Bundesbank creates space to engage and interact

26.03.2025

“The better society is informed about financial topics, the better we, as central banks, can explain our monetary policy decisions,” Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel said at the opening of the Bundesbank’s euro pavilion. This converted event space at the Bundesbank’s Central Office in the heart of Frankfurt adds to the Bank’s existing outreach activities to engage and interact with interested members of the general public.

Euro pavilion: Bundesbank creates space to engage and interact
Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel at the opening of the Bundesbank’s euro pavilion ©Marcus Kaufhold