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How good are banks‘ forecasts? Discussion paper 03/2024: Lotta Heckmann-Draisbach, Christoph Memmel
712 KB, PDF
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Monthly Report – January 2024
The January 2024 Monthly Report outlines the risks for Germany arising from economic integration with China. In addition, it provides an outlook on the future of cash.
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A house prices at risk approach for the German residential real estate market Lucas Hafemann
1 MB, PDF
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Climate transition risk stress test for the German financial system Ivan Frankovic Tobias Etzel Alexander Falter, Christian Gross, Jana Ohls, Lena Strobel, Hannes Wilke
1 MB, PDF
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Quantifying the pull-to-par effect for German banks’ bond portfolios Lena Strobel
769 KB, PDF
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Statistical Series International investment position and external debt January 2024
3 MB, PDF
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Back to the roots of internal credit risk models: Does risk explain why banks’ risk-weighted asset levels converge over time? Discussion paper 02/2024: Victoria Böhnke, Steven Ongena, Florentina Paraschiv, Endre J. Reite
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Statistics on international trade in services (SITS) 01/2001-07/2023 – Data Report 2023-24 – Metadata Version 7 Elena Biewen, Annette Meinusch
160 KB, PDF
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On household labour supply in sticky-wage HANK models Discussion paper 01/2024: Rafael Gerke, Sebastian Giesen, Matija Lozej, Joost Röttger
973 KB, PDF
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Statistical Series International investment position and external debt December 2023
3 MB, PDF
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Monthly report – December 2023
The December 2023 Monthly Report projects how the German economy is likely to develop up until 2026. It also features an article discussing model-based recommendations for monetary policy decision-making. In addition, the report analyses the profitability and financing of German enterprises in 2022. A further contribution examines the challenges and current situation with regard to the regulation of crypto assets.
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Nowcasting consumer price inflation using high-frequency scanner data: Evidence from Germany Discussion paper 34/2023: Günter W. Beck, Kai Carstensen, Jan-Oliver Menz, Richard Schnorrenberger, Elisabeth Wieland
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The role of emission disclosure for the low-carbon transition Discussion paper 33/2023: Ivan Frankovic, Benedikt Kolb
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The macroeconomic effects of inflation uncertainty Discussion paper 32/2023: Norbert Metiu, Esteban Prieto
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Collateral scarcity and market functioning: Insights from the Eurosystem securities lending facilities Discussion paper 31/2023: Stefan Greppmair, Stephan Jank
720 KB, PDF
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Financial Stability Review 2023
The macroeconomic environment is being shaped by the interest rate reversal and heightened uncertainty. So far, the German financial system has coped well with the rise in interest rates over the last year, but the effects of this rise have not yet fully materialised. Structural change in the economy is also likely to further increase credit risk.
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Staggered difference-in-differences in gravity settings: Revisiting the effects of trade agreements Discussion paper 30/2023: Arne J. Nagengast, Yoto V. Yotov
867 KB, PDF
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Monthly report – November 2023
The November 2023 edition of the Monthly Report comments on the economic situation in Germany in autumn 2023.
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Statistical Series International investment position and external debt November 2023
3 MB, PDF
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Effects of mergers on network models of the financial system Discussion paper 29/2023: Daniel Nevermann, Lotta Heckmann-Draisbach
998 KB, PDF
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Energy prices and inflation expectations: Evidence from households and firms Discussion paper 28/2023: Nils Wehrhöfer
667 KB, PDF
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Individual financial statements of non-financial firms (JANIS) 1997-2022 – Data Report 2023-23 – Metadata Version 12 Thorsten Becker, Elena Biewen, Dennis Hüwel, Simone Schultz
292 KB, PDF
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Forceful or persistent: How the ECB’s new inflation target households’ inflation expectations Discussion paper 27/2023: Mathias Hoffmann, Emanuel Moench, Lora Pavlova, Guido Schultefrankenfeld
701 KB, PDF
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Microdatabase Direct Investment 1999-2021 – Data Report 2023-22 – Metadata Version 10 Kathrin Friederich, Lien Pham-Dao, Christopher-J. Schild, Dietmar Scholz, Jana Schumacher
6 MB, PDF
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Microdatabase Direct Investment 1999-2019 – Data Report 2021-23 – Metadata Version 8 Kathrin Friederich, Lien Pham-Dao, Christopher-J. Schild, Dietmar Scholz, Jana Schumacher
4 MB, PDF
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Effects of bank capital requirements on lending by banks and non-bank financial institutions Discussion paper 26/2023: Peter Bednarek, Olga Briukhova, Steven Ongena, Natalja von Westernhagen
2 MB, PDF
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