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Monthly Report - January 2019
The January 2019 edition of the Bundesbank’s Monthly Report looks into how a normalisation of interest rates will impact on balance sheets in the euro area’s private non-financial sector and explores price competitiveness in a number of euro area countries in terms of the development, drivers and influence of labour market reforms. The Report also features an analysis of financial cycles in the euro area and sheds light on International Financial Reporting Standard (IFRS) 9 from a banking supervision angle.
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Exchange rate statistics - January 2019 Statistical Supplement 5 to the Monthly Report
517 KB, PDF
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Effects of bank capital requirement tightenings on inequality Discussion paper 54/2018: Sandra Eickmeier, Benedikt Kolb, Esteban Prieto
415 KB, PDF
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Banking statistics - January 2019 Statistical Supplement 1 to the Monthly Report
1 MB, PDF
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Politics, banks, and sub-sovereign debt: Unholy trinity or divine coincidence? Discussion paper 53/2018: Michael Koetter, Alexander Popov
1 MB, PDF
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The role of non-performing loans for bank lending rates Discussion paper 52/2018: Sebastian Bredl
704 KB, PDF
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Bank capital buffers in a dynamic model Discussion paper 51/2018: Jochen Mankart, Alexander Michaelides, Spyros Pagratis
995 KB, PDF
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Monetary-fiscal interaction and quantitative easing Discussion paper 50/2018: Josef Hollmayr, Michael Kühl
2 MB, PDF
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May the force be with you: Exit barriers, governance shocks, and profitability sclerosis in banking Discussion paper 49/2018: Michael Koetter, Carola Müller, Felix Noth, Benedikt Fritz
1 MB, PDF
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An evaluation of early warning models for systemic banking crises: Does machine learning improve predictions? Discussion paper 48/2018: Johannes Beutel, Sophia List, Gregor von Schweinitz
1 MB, PDF
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Balance of payments statistics - December 2018 Statistical Supplement 3 to the Monthly Report
1 MB, PDF
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Seasonally adjusted business statistics - December 2018 Statistical Supplement 4 to the Monthly Report
2 MB, PDF
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Capital market statistics - December 2018 Statistical Supplement 2 to the Monthly Report
762 KB, PDF
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Monthly Report - December 2018
The December 2018 edition of the Bundesbank’s Monthly Report outlines the prospects for the German economy on the basis of projections for 2019 and 2020, with a look ahead at the year 2021. It also features an analysis of German enterprises’ profitability and financing conditions in 2017 as well as an article on the amount, profitability and risks of cross-border assets in Germany’s external position.
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Exchange rate statistics - December 2018 Statistical Supplement 5 to the Monthly Report
520 KB, PDF
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A structural quantitative analysis of services trade de-liberalization Discussion paper 47/2018: Sven Blank, Peter H. Egger, Valeria Merlo, Georg Wamser
1 MB, PDF
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Monetary policy communication shocks and the macroeconomy Discussion paper 46/2018: Robert Goodhead, Benedikt Kolb
2 MB, PDF
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Freeze! Financial sanctions and bank responses Discussion paper 45/2018: Matthias Efing, Stefan Goldbach, Volker Nitsch
2 MB, PDF
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Macroeconomic effects of bank capital regulation Discussion paper 44/2018: Sandra Eickmeier, Benedikt Kolb, Esteban Prieto
2 MB, PDF
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Balance of payments statistics - November 2018 Statistical Supplement 3 to the Monthly Report
1 MB, PDF
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Capital market statistics - November 2018 Statistical Supplement 2 to the Monthly Report
761 KB, PDF
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Seasonally adjusted business statistics - November 2018 Statistical Supplement 4 to the Monthly Report
2 MB, PDF
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Monthly Report - November 2018
The November 2018 edition of the Monthly Report comments on the economic situation in Germany in autumn 2018.
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Financial Stability Review 2018
Times of strong growth and low interest rates have seen vulnerabilities build up in the German financial system. In addition, the probability of an economic downturn has increased.
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Exchange rate statistics - November 2018 Statistical Supplement 5 to the Monthly Report
519 KB, PDF
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Balance of payments statistics - October 2018 Statistical Supplement 3 to the Monthly Report
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Implications of bank regulation for loan supply and bank stability: A dynamic perspective Discussion paper 43/2018: Monika Bucher, Diemo Dietrich, Achim Hauck
1 MB, PDF
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Capital market statistics - October 2018 Statistical Supplement 2 to the Monthly Report
695 KB, PDF
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Seasonally adjusted business statistics - October 2018 Statistical Supplement 4 to the Monthly Report
2 MB, PDF
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Monthly Report - October 2018
The Bundesbank’s October 2018 Monthly Report comments on trends in state government finances, the implementation of the debt brake and future budgetary surveillance. It also analyses the macroeconomic impact of uncertainty as well as the activities of multinationals against the backdrop of national economic statistics. Furthermore, the report contains an article on the growing importance of exchange-traded funds on the financial markets.
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Banking statistics - October 2018 Statistical Supplement 1 to the Monthly Report
1 MB, PDF
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The pricing of FX forward contracts: micro evidence from banks’ dollar hedging Discussion paper 42/2018: Puriya Abbassi, Falk Bräuning
1023 KB, PDF
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Exchange rate statistics - October 2018 Statistical Supplement 5 to the Monthly Report
529 KB, PDF
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Seasonal adjustment of daily time series Discussion paper 41/2018: Daniel Ollech
7 MB, PDF
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Germany's Gold
How did Germany's gold reserves come into being and what role did gold play as a means of payment through the ages? What was the significance of gold reserves then and now? With this book, the Bundesbank's gold reserves are presented to readers for the first time in an informative and illustrative way, as if they were holding them in their own hands. The transfer of significant gold holdings from the depositories in New York and Paris to Frankfurt has attracted a great deal of public attention in recent years.
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Balance of payments statistics - September 2018 Statistical Supplement 3 to the Monthly Report
1 MB, PDF
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Large mixed-frequency VARs with a parsimonious time-varying parameter structure Discussion paper 40/2018: Thomas B. Götz, Klemens Hauzenberger
1 MB, PDF
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Coordination failures, bank runs and asset prices Discussion paper 39/2018: Monika Bucher, Diemo Dietrich, Mich Tvede
384 KB, PDF
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Capital market statistics - September 2018 Statistical Supplement 2 to the Monthly Report
761 KB, PDF
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Oil price shocks and stock return volatility: New evidence based on volatility impulse response analysis Discussion paper 38/2018: Sercan Eraslan, Faek Menla Ali
562 KB, PDF
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Seasonally adjusted business statistics - September 2018 Statistical Supplement 4 to the Monthly Report
2 MB, PDF
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Banking statistics - September 2018 Statistical Supplement 1 to the Monthly Report
1 MB, PDF
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Exchange rate statistics - September 2018 Statistical Supplement 5 to the Monthly Report
549 KB, PDF
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Monthly Report - September 2018
The September 2018 Monthly Report explains the models that the Bundesbank uses to make its short-term economic forecasts as well as how these models have been updated. In addition, the Report also analyses the performance of German credit institutions in 2017.
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Equilibrium asset pricing in directed networks Discussion paper 37/2018: Nicole Branger, Patrick Konermann, Christoph Meinerding, Christian Schlag
947 KB, PDF
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Short-term forecasting economic activity in Germany: a supply and demand side system of bridge equations Discussion paper 36/2018: Nicolas Pinkwart
8 MB, PDF
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What are the real effects of financial market liquidity? Evidence on bank lending from the euro area Discussion paper 34/2018: Andreas R. Dombret, Daniel Foos, Kamil Pliszka, Alexander Schulz
1 MB, PDF