The Bundesbank’s economists have examined how climate action affects the value of stock corporations. The outcome under the assumptions made was that a large proportion of the corporations under review did not suffer major equity price losses as a consequence of their direct greenhouse gas emissions, even for a sharp rise in carbon prices. By contrast, shares in companies whose greenhouse gas emissions cause them high costs in relation to their dividends suffer large losses. Stock corporations whose business centres around fossil energy sources are hardest hit.

The third event in the “Designing climate policies” series saw experts from academia and central banking discuss the role of households in the ecological transformation. Bundesbank Vice-President Claudia Buch introduced to the event, which was organised by the Bundesbank together with the Center for Liberal Modernity and the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research.

In 2022, Germany assumed the presidency of the Group of Seven (G7) for the third time. The G7 is an informal gathering of the Heads of State or Government of the seven most advanced industrial economies and an informal forum for exchanging views and opinions and coordinating joint policy positions. Its members are Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States.

The Bundesbank registered approximately 42,000 counterfeit euro banknotes with a nominal value of €1.9 million in 2021, representing a 28.6% decrease on the previous year. This drop was because manufacturers and distributors of counterfeits had fewer outlets, explained Bundesbank Executive Board member Johannes Beermann.

The latest issue of the Monthly Report explains how risks stemming from climate change and climate policy can affect economic developments in Europe. It describes how, alongside the impact of extreme weather events and gradually rising temperatures, it is notably the macroeconomic repercussions of climate policy that are likely to become significant in the near future. This poses additional challenges to macroeconomic analysis, which is key to monetary policy decision-making. With that in mind, the Bundesbank is adapting its analytical toolkit.

In the final quarter of 2021, economic output in Germany is likely to have declined slightly, the Bundesbank writes in its current Monthly Report. According to the Bank’s experts, this is primarily due to the resurgence of the pandemic. While gross domestic product (GDP) rose by 2.7% on the year in 2021 as a whole, this was not nearly enough to offset the sharp decline of the previous year, the Bank’s experts say. 

The European Commission’s proposals for implementing the new tighter capital requirements for banks are a topic of public debate. Critics say the additional requirements will hit small and medium-sized enterprises in particular. The Bundesbank, meanwhile, sees no impediments to SME funding. Executive Board member Joachim Wuermeling says the legislative proposal would not involve any changes for most of the 1,300 institutions.

Bundesbank Executive Board member Sabine Mauderer will spend two years as Vice-Chair of the Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS), before serving as Chair for the following two years.

According to the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), gross domestic product (GDP) in 2021 was 2.7% higher than in 2020 (in price-adjusted terms). “Economic activity in 2021 was once again highly dependent on coronavirus infection rates and the associated containment measures,” said Georg Thiel, President of the Federal Statistical Office, at a press conference in Wiesbaden.

“Stability is the Bundesbank’s mission and its core,” Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel emphasised in his inaugural speech at the change of office ceremony in Frankfurt am Main. “The German public expect, and rightly so, that the Bundesbank will make its voice heard as an advocate for a culture of stability. I can reassure them that it will continue to do so,” he said. At the same time, the Bundesbank should rise to the challenges that change brings and harness the opportunities it offers.