After the year got off to a moderate start, the German economy rebounded quite strongly in the second quarter of 2018. The Bundesbank believes that the German economy is likely to remain on a sound growth path in the current quarter. However, as is explained further in the August issue of the Monthly Report, the pace of growth could tail off slightly.

Im Mai zog die Inflation erneut kräftig an, was vor allem auf – auch wegen der Auswirkungen des Krieges – stark steigende Energie- und Nahrungsmittelpreise zurückzuführen ist. Der Inflationsdruck hat jedoch an Breite und Intensität gewonnen, was sich in erheblichen Preissteigerungen bei zahlreichen Waren und Dienstleistungen zeigt. Fachleute des Eurosystems haben ihre Basisprojektionen zur Inflationsentwicklung deutlich nach oben korrigiert.

Times of strong growth and low interest rates have seen vulnerabilities build up in the German financial system. In addition, the probability of an economic downturn has increased. “Now is the time to build up sufficient capital and strengthen the financial system’s defences,” said Bundesbank Vice-President Claudia Buch at the press conference on the publication of the new Financial Stability Review.