It is often said that wage moderation in Germany was the primary cause of the current account imbalances in the euro area that emerged prior to the financial crisis. A new study puts this hypothesis to the test.

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In spite of many burdens, the German economy grew more strongly than expected at the beginning of 2026 – partly because industry proved to be quite resilient. However, the labour market continued to deteriorate and the consequences of the war in Iran are clouding the outlook for the German economy in the second quarter.

Germany’s current account recorded a surplus of €23.6 billion in March 2026. This was €3.1 billion up on the previous month’s level. The goods account surplus decreased, but the surplus in invisible current transactions, which comprise services as well as primary and secondary income, increased more strongly.

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